Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.445835 0.488934 0.535813 0.590841 0.653988 0.724569 0.809969
2025-08-24 0.369547 0.427621 0.495773 0.582698 0.692154 0.827554 1.011210
2025-08-31 0.323465 0.387611 0.466777 0.573695 0.717609 0.909739 1.195106
2025-09-07 0.297095 0.366064 0.454718 0.580276 0.759223 1.014894 1.428148
2025-09-14 0.270644 0.340504 0.433115 0.569195 0.772159 1.078744 1.611447
2025-09-21 0.252295 0.323375 0.420252 0.567482 0.796628 1.161823 1.843909
2025-09-28 0.232230 0.301872 0.398818 0.550050 0.793472 1.198609 2.002472
2025-10-05 0.225922 0.298850 0.403090 0.571189 0.853809 1.352090 2.426754
2025-10-12 0.218642 0.293665 0.403424 0.585758 0.904752 1.498441 2.887828
2025-10-19 0.209001 0.284189 0.396288 0.587116 0.932295 1.605309 3.299632
2025-10-26 0.196995 0.270322 0.381202 0.573473 0.930269 1.651728 3.578544
2025-11-02 0.185817 0.257018 0.366016 0.558125 0.922842 1.685081 3.836233
2025-11-09 0.176170 0.245813 0.353888 0.547856 0.925697 1.745876 4.216649
2025-11-16 0.167580 0.235823 0.343147 0.539243 0.931173 1.815424 4.668741
2025-11-23 0.159831 0.226703 0.333181 0.531035 0.936281 1.885484 5.167371
2025-11-30 0.155307 0.222435 0.330974 0.536938 0.972062 2.041798 6.100519
2025-12-07 0.148390 0.213913 0.320951 0.526978 0.971582 2.102307 6.692996
2025-12-14 0.143410 0.208287 0.315541 0.525438 0.989897 2.220238 7.656112
2025-12-21 0.136521 0.199177 0.303507 0.509754 0.973220 2.232555 8.109075
2025-12-28 0.135514 0.199773 0.308568 0.528771 1.041948 2.524701 10.471440
2026-01-04 0.133626 0.198764 0.310657 0.541862 1.098493 2.800252 13.252852
2026-01-11 0.130166 0.194894 0.307273 0.543081 1.124879 2.982862 15.746961
2026-01-18 0.125092 0.188027 0.297981 0.530824 1.113839 3.026074 17.139483